The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilvamaddalena 29.2%
Draw 29.2%
Paganese 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
29.2%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
28.8%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ilvamaddalena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilvamaddalena than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Ilvamaddalena - Paganese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Izzillo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Okitokandjo S. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Ilvamaddalena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Paganese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Paganese will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ilvamaddalena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Ilvamaddalena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4
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