The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves 2 45.3%
Draw 23.8%
HJS 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
22.6%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
21.9%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves 2's performance.
HJS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves 2 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJS than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ilves 2 - HJS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
80. Leislahti R. (G) 36. Aho R. 38. Halonen R. 39. Laaksonen M. 88. Lehtomaki V. 73. Rasanen A. 99. Rautavirta R. 51. Riissanen J. (C) 74. Syrjanen S. 45. Tamminen E. 34. Valkealahti V.
12. Inkeroinen L. (G) 5. Ahokas V. 7. Ikonen A. 17. Kajanto E. 20. Larjanne K. 23. Lehtomaki A. 8. Mayranen M. 21. Nieminen J. 15. Niskanen R. 66. Nokkonen M. 4. Supperi E. (C)
Substitutes
44. Hjelm A. 43. Husu N. (G) 26. Kyllonen N. 42. Lehtonen L. 75. Niskanen O. 53. Sarkilahti V. 35. Sinkkila A. 37. Veijonen E.
18. Ahola J. 6. Ala T. 14. Kopra K. 13. Lottonen E. 1. Meltoranta L. (G) 10. Riihela E. 32. Seyar A. 26. Virtanen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Ikonen A. 🟨,
58', Aho R. ↓, Kyllonen N. ↑,
58', Rautavirta R. ↓, Lehtonen L. ↑,
69', Nokkonen M. ↓, Seyar A. ↑,
70', Nieminen J. ↓, Riihela E. ↑,
70', Ikonen A. ↓, Ahola J. ↑,
71', Lehtomaki V. 🟨,
75', Riissanen J. ↓, Veijonen E. ↑,
75', Lehtomaki V. ↓, Niskanen O. ↑,
78', Mayranen M. ↓, Kopra K. ↑,
86', Larjanne K. ↓, Ala T. ↑,
87', Veijonen E. 🟨,
89', Halonen R. ↓, Sarkilahti V. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves 2 won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ilves 2 won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 2.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ilves 2 won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves 2 - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.