Match Info

Kakkonen Group B - Winners stage

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Espoonlahden urheilupuisto (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Espoon Palloseura		Ilves 2

	1	X	2
	3.20	4.10	1.77
	2.97	4.29	1.92
	3.11	4.47	1.83	Watch
	2.9	4.2	1.89
	3.46	4.4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.88)	4.29 ↑ (4.1)	1.84 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Palloseura
29.2%

Draw
21.3%

Ilves 2
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

22.4%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

21.6%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Palloseura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ilves 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves 2 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Espoon Palloseura - Ilves 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lehtinen L. (G) 25. Aho N. 24. Asikainen E. (C) 70. Jouhi E. 15. Laine S. 20. Ojakangas E. 4. Paappanen E. 9. Pinomaa A. 28. Ronni T. 10. Talvitie E. 17. Westerlund A.	43. Husu N. (G) 36. Aho R. 38. Halonen R. 84. Kouakou F. 39. Laaksonen M. 95. Lehtomaki V. 73. Rasanen A. (C) 99. Rautavirta R. 35. Suvanne S. 74. Syrjanen S. 34. Valkealahti V.
Substitutes
19. Gebala M. 33. Koranteng M. 26. Lindstrom L. 21. Ljunglin M. 5. Margaritidis A. 6. Marshall P. 1. Mazur A. (G) 23. Rokkonen M.	90. Ala-Nikkola N. 97. Ljungqvist A. (G) 51. Riissanen J. 75. Sinkkila A. 44. Toivonen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Rautavirta R. ⚽,
68', Jouhi E. ↓, Ljunglin M. ↑,
68', Talvitie E. ↓, Marshall P. ↑,
69', Lehtomaki V. ↓, Ala-Nikkola N. ↑,
69', Rautavirta R. ↓, Toivonen J. ↑,
77', Laaksonen M. ↓, Riissanen J. ↑,
77', Valkealahti V. ↓, Niskanen O. ↑,
77', Ronni T. ↓, Gebala M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EPS won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Ilves 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, EPS has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:18 (averaging 1.9:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for EPS against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 12:9 goals (averaging 2.4:1.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
12.09.26	P-Iirot Rauma - Espoon Palloseura	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Åbo IFK - Espoon Palloseura	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Espoon Palloseura - Honka	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Espoon Palloseura - HJS	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Espoon Palloseura - HJS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTLWW
- FC Ilves 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
13.09.26	Ilves 2 - Honka	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Ilves 2 - P-Iirot Rauma	6:1 ✺
02.09.26	HJS - Ilves 2	1:5 ✺
28.08.26	Åbo IFK - Ilves 2	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Grankulla IFK - Ilves 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
05.07.26	Ilves 2 - Espoon Palloseura	4:2
25.04.26	Espoon Palloseura - Ilves 2	1:1
20.08.23	Ilves 2 - Espoon Palloseura	0:1
27.05.23	Espoon Palloseura - Ilves 2	4:1
03.08.22	Ilves 2 - Espoon Palloseura	2:1
30.07.22	Espoon Palloseura - Ilves 2	4:1
22.09.21	Espoon Palloseura - Ilves 2	2:1

Espoon Palloseura - Ilves 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide