Match Info

Super League - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Indeni		Atletico Lusaka

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	1.95
	5.8	3.7	1.52
	5.12	3.92	1.52
	5.57	3.93	1.53
	6.55	3.7	1.48
	5.8	3.7	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (3.3)	3.7 ↑ (3)	1.59 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indeni
17.2%

Draw
24.9%

Atletico Lusaka
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.3%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.4%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indeni's form might have worsened.

Atletico Lusaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atletico Lusaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indeni than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indeni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Lusaka than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atletico Lusaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Indeni - Atletico Lusaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Benjamin C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, Chisi T. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Indeni is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atletico Lusaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atletico Lusaka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Indeni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indeni FC
Zambian Premier League
19.04.25	Red Arrows - Indeni	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Indeni - Mufulira Wanderers	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Indeni - Green Eagles	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Nkana - Indeni	4:1 ✺
08.03.25	Indeni - Nkwazi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLLT
- Atletico Lusaka
Zambian Premier League
19.04.25	Atletico Lusaka - Mutondo Stars	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Red Arrows - Atletico Lusaka	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Mufulira Wanderers - Atletico Lusaka	3:0 ✺
13.03.25	Atletico Lusaka - Kabwe Warriors	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Nchanga Rangers - Atletico Lusaka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Zambian Premier League
14.12.24	Atletico Lusaka - Indeni	2:1

Indeni - Atletico Lusaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide