Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - First stage - Round 9

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Independiente 2		Defensa y Justicia 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.68	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.64	5.32
	1.63	3.64	5.32
	1.62	3.5	5
	1.65	3.57	5.09	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	4.96 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
55.3%

Draw
26.2%

Defensa y Justicia 2
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Defensa y Justicia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Sives T. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Independiente 2 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
11.04.24	Godoy Cruz 2 - Independiente 2	3:1 ✺
03.04.24	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	3:2 ✺
27.03.24	Independiente 2 - Platense 2	3:0 ✺
19.03.24	Central Córdoba 2 - Independiente 2	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Independiente 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWTW
- Defensa y Justicia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
11.04.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Tigre 2	1:1 ✺
04.04.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
17.02.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Independiente 2	0:2
19.07.22	Independiente 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:0

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