Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports


	Independiente 2		Lanús 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.05
	2.19	3.36	3.11
	2.23	3.35	2.99	Watch
	2.16	3.18	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)	3.26 ↑ (3.09)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
42.1%

Draw
28.1%

Lanús 2
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lanús 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Independiente 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Independiente 2 (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente 2 (votes: 1 - 50%). Lanús 2 (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 0.

Recent form of Independiente 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lanús 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lanús 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Independiente 2 has had a series of away games.

Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
24.09.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - Independiente 2	3:0 ✺
16.09.25	Ferro 2 - Independiente 2	3:2 ✺
11.09.25	Independiente 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	0:0 ✺
26.08.25	Instituto 2 - Independiente 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWTL
- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
25.09.25	Lanús 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Instituto 2 - Lanús 2	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Lanús 2 - Platense 2	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Banfield 2 - Lanús 2	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
29.04.25	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	2:2
03.10.24	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	1:1
24.04.24	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	2:0
27.05.23	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	1:0
10.08.22	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	1:2
29.04.22	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	1:2

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