Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 12

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Independiente Asuncion		Benjamín Aceval

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.00	2.85
	2.20	3.15	2.92
	2.06	3.16	2.84
	2.57	3.34	2.57	Watch
	2.12	3.10	2.70
	2.23	3.22	2.92
	2.19	3.15	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.57)	3.16 ↓ (3.34)	2.81 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
40%

Draw
28.3%

Benjamín Aceval
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Benjamín Aceval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamín Aceval than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Independiente Asuncion - Benjamín Aceval Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Benjamín Aceval will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Arguello O. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Morel F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 1 - 2, Quinonez K. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3).

Recent performances by Independiente FBC have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Benjamín Aceval is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benjamin Aceval	27	12	6	9	42:35	7	42
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40:35	5	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
06.06.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Independiente Asuncion - 12 de Junio	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion	2:3 ✺
19.05.26	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Fernando de la Mora - Independiente Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLT
- Club Doctor Benjamín Aceval
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
06.06.26	Benjamín Aceval - Tacuary	3:2 ✺
30.05.26	Atlético Tembetary - Benjamín Aceval	4:3 ✺
24.05.26	Paraguarí - Benjamín Aceval	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Benjamín Aceval - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	12 de Junio - Benjamín Aceval	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWWW

Independiente Asuncion - Benjamín Aceval: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide