Match Info

Date: 30 May 2022, Monday


	Independiente Asuncion		Guaraní de Trinidad

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.2
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.24	2.85	3.15
	2.18	2.7	3.38
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.2	3.02	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.16)	2.83 ↑ (2.75)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
40.7%

Draw
31.8%

Guaraní de Trinidad
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

32.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

34.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Guaraní de Trinidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní de Trinidad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	53.8%	7.7%

Independiente Asuncion - Guaraní de Trinidad Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Independiente FBC will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Guaraní de Trinidad will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Guaraní de Trinidad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Guaraní de Trinidad have a series of home games.

Independiente Asuncion will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Asuncion won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Asuncion won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.05.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
06.05.22	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1 ✺
29.04.22	Sportivo Luqueño - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
22.04.22	Independiente Asuncion - Martín Ledesma	5:2 ✺
17.04.22	Atyrá - Independiente Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWT
- Guaraní de Trinidad
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.05.22	Guaraní de Trinidad - Fernando de la Mora	1:2 ✺
19.05.22	3 de Febrero - Guaraní de Trinidad	0:1 ✺
15.05.22	Guaraní de Trinidad - Rubio Ñu	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Guaraní de Trinidad - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Guaraní de Trinidad - 2 de Mayo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
01.08.21	Independiente Asuncion - Guaraní de Trinidad	0:0

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