Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 19

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.05	3.05	3.35
	2.08	3.14	3.35
	3.29	3.67	2.01	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.02	3.15	3.49
	2.07	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.07)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
41.2%

Draw
28.6%

Independiente Asuncion
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Independiente Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Dietze S. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Garcia M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Medina C. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1.

Sportivo San Lorenzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Independiente FBC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Independiente FBC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sportivo San Lorenzo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.07.25	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sol de América	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWWW
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.07.25	Sol de América - Independiente Asuncion	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion	3:0 ✺
28.06.25	12 de Junio - Independiente Asuncion	1:0 ✺
23.06.25	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Capiatá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.04.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1
15.09.24	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0
10.06.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	1:2
18.08.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	0:2
12.05.23	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1
30.08.22	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1
24.05.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	2:0

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