Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 10

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Independiente Asuncion		Pastoreo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.03	3.88
	1.91	3.21	3.94	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.91	3.1	3.96
	1.85	3.15	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.8)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)	3.86 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
47.3%

Draw
29.3%

Pastoreo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

28.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pastoreo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente FBC will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Dietze S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Gavilan Gonzalez C. F. ⚽,
75', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

Independiente FBC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pastoreo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Independiente FBC could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente FBC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.05.25	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Resistencia - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
28.04.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.05.25	Pastoreo - Sol de América	0:1 ✺
16.05.25	Fernando de la Mora - Pastoreo	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Pastoreo - Encarnación	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	12 de Junio - Pastoreo	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
22.07.24	Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo	0:2
04.08.23	Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion	0:3
28.04.23	Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo	1:1
03.07.22	Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion	0:0

Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide