Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 14

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Independiente Asuncion		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	2.95
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.9	3.2	3.25
	1.85	3.53	3.93	Watch
	2.07	2.90	3.05
	1.78	3.34	4.18
	2.13	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 ↓ (3.6)	3.44 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
45.8%

Draw
28.1%

Tacuary
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Asuncion will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Dietze S. (Penalty Awarded),
21', 1 - 0, Dramane D. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, de Lira Benedito G. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Salcedo S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 2, Portillo J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tacuary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Independiente FBC is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente FBC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40:35	5	40
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30:43	-13	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
07.07.26	Atlético Tembetary - Independiente Asuncion	2:2 ✺
30.06.26	Independiente Asuncion - Benjamín Aceval	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Independiente Asuncion - 12 de Junio	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWLW
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.07.26	Paraguarí - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Tacuary - Atlético Tembetary	4:2 ✺
06.06.26	Benjamín Aceval - Tacuary	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	12 de Junio - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.08.25	Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion	1:0
14.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	0:1
17.09.21	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	0:2
13.06.21	Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion	1:3

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