Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 16

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)


	Independiente Petroleros		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	5	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.6	3.75	5.15	Watch
	1.53	4.18	5.73
	1.87	3.46	4.04	Watch
	1.58	3.85	5.27
	1.75	3.86	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	3.8 ↓ (4.2)	4.89 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
56.6%

Draw
24.4%

Jorge Wilstermann
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Wilstermann will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Arauz E. (G) 94. Aguilera D. 4. Velasquez E. 3. Soleto W. 72. Patzi A. 7. Cardozo R. 16. Martinez Y. 19. Cristaldo G. 93. Willie 10. Thomaz (C) 9. Villalba D.	1. Salinas L. (G) 5. Castillo G. 6. Villarroel N. 27. Corrales R. 16. Rodriguez I. 15. Machado C. (C) 18. Barron A. 25. Dos Santos R. 35. Guillermo A. 17. Rodriguez L. 7. Caceres A.
Substitutes
15. Aranibar Paco J. 21. Arteaga N. 2. Avila R. 40. Chajtur M. 39. Grass P. 29. Medina A. 20. Mercado A. 68. Morales D. 1. Morales J. (G) 27. Navarro D. 17. Rivera E.	29. Adrian J. 26. Aliaga A. 31. Delgadillo M. 24. Montano J. 4. Rodriguez F. 14. Tumiri E. 23. Velasco A. 22. Zenteno E. 33. Zotes S. (G)
Coaches
Eguez L.	Viviani Ribera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Thomaz (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barron A. ↓, Aliaga A. ↑,
46', Rodriguez I. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
46', Velasquez E. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Willie ⚽, Martinez Y. (A),
55', Willie ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
63', Martinez Y. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Caceres A. (Pen),
75', Rodriguez L. ↓, Tumiri E. ↑,
80', Thomaz ↓, Medina A. ↑,
80', Cardozo R. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
83', Aguilera D. 🟨,
88', Corrales R. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
90', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
90+4', Villarroel N. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.

Ind Petroleros has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wilstermann is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ind Petroleros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ind Petroleros is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 2.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Copa Pacena
13.08.25	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.08.25	GVCD San José - Independiente Petroleros	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	ABB - Independiente Petroleros	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.07.25	Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.07.25	Always Ready - Independiente Petroleros	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWWL
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.08.25	Jorge Wilstermann - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
27.07.25	Bolívar - Jorge Wilstermann	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.07.25	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.07.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Blooming	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
29.03.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros	0:1
21.12.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros	3:2
22.09.24	Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2
03.10.23	Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann	0:3
15.04.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros	0:1
17.10.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros	1:3
06.08.22	Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann	4:1

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