Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Jorge Wilstermann		The Strongest

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	3.75	1.88	Watch
	3.32	4.37	1.84	Watch
	3.34	3.75	1.88	Watch
	2.9	3.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.32)	3.92 ↓ (4.37)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jorge Wilstermann
28.7%

Draw
23.3%

The Strongest
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

21.3%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salinas L. (G) 14. Pardo E. 27. Corrales R. 5. Castillo G. 4. Rodriguez F. 18. Barron A. 10. Chavez C. (C) 29. Adrian J. 17. Rodriguez L. 26. Aliaga A. 7. Caceres A.	1. Banegas L. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 4. Chiatti M. 3. Pedraza P. 16. Moriceau T. 17. Lovera J. 30. Arrascaita J. (C) 20. Garcia J. 6. Quiroga A. 21. Quaglio F. 7. Amoroso J.
Substitutes
34. Ancieta C. 40. Camacho K. 22. Flores E. 24. Montano J. 38. Rocabado I. 28. Soto R. 36. Veizaga E. 23. Velasco A. 37. Zenteno J. 33. Zotes S. (G)	22. Godoy J. 5. Jusino A. 35. Lino D. 34. Melgar S. 36. Ribera R. 15. Roca C. 25. Somoya M. 19. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 8. Ursino L.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.	Monasterio J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Caceres A. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,
17', Pardo E. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
20', 2 - 1, Barron A. ⚽,
42', Lovera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
57', Castillo G. 🟨,
57', Chiatti M. 🟨,
58', Moriceau T. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
58', Lovera J. ↓, Ursino L. ↑,
58', Chavez C. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Godoy J. ⚽,
66', Barron A. 🟨,
70', Barron A. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
70', Rodriguez L. ↓, Veizaga E. ↑,
71', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
74', 2 - 3, Garcia J. ⚽, Godoy J. (A),
75', Ursino L. 🟨,
77', Arrascaita J. ↓, Somoya M. ↑,
84', Montano J. 🟨,
87', Quaglio F. 🟨,
87', Quaglio F. ↓, Roca C. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Garcia J. ⚽, Ursino L. (A),
90+1', 2 - 5, Garcia J. ⚽, Amoroso J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 1.

Wilstermann is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, The Strongest has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The Strongest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wilstermann has had a series of away games.

The Strongest is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.7:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Jorge Wilstermann - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 28.06%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Copa Pacena
23.10.25	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	The Strongest - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	0:0 ✺
01.10.25	GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.09.25	Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTTLT
- The Strongest
Bolivian Copa Pacena
23.10.25	GVCD San José - The Strongest	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.10.25	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.10.25	The Strongest - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
06.10.25	The Strongest - GVCD San José	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.10.25	The Strongest - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.07.25	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	1:2
21.11.24	The Strongest - Jorge Wilstermann	2:1
19.05.24	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	0:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.12.23	The Strongest - Jorge Wilstermann	0:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.12.23	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.11.23	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	1:2

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