Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Independiente Rivadavia 2		Deportivo Riestra 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.15	2.98	Watch
	2.27	3.2	3.32
	2.24	3.01	3.26	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.23	3.3	3.14
	1.97	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	3.21 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia 2
42.1%

Draw
29.5%

Deportivo Riestra 2
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Deportivo Riestra 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia 2 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra 2 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Sabato L. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Ganduglia T. ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Deportivo Riestra 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Independiente R 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente R 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente R 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
29.04.26	Belgrano 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	4:1 ✺
23.04.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Lanús 2	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTLL
- Deportivo Riestra 2
Argentinian Reserve League
30.04.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Barracas Central 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Belgrano 2	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Lanús 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
16.10.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:0
15.05.24	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:2

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