Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Independiente Rivadavia 2		Lanús 2

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2
	3.45	3.3	2.07
	3.39	3.33	2.03	Watch
	3.3	3	2
	3.39	3.18	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.49)	3.2 ↓ (3.31)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia 2
26.9%

Draw
28.3%

Lanús 2
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27.8%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

26.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Independiente R 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lanús 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lanús 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
08.04.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:3 ✺
26.03.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	4:1 ✺
03.03.26	Ferro 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWT
- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.04.26	Lanús 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Belgrano 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Lanús 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Lanús 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Lanús 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches