Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday


	Independiente de Cauquenes		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	3.15	3.15	2
	3.2	3.2	2
	2.86	3.04	2.46
	2.86	2.85	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.6)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.27 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente de Cauquenes
30.8%

Draw
29.5%

Deportes Limache
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

27.7%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente de Cauquenes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente de Cauquenes's performance.

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Limache might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de Cauquenes than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente de Cauquenes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Limache could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Independiente de Cauquenes - Deportes Limache Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ind de Cauquenes will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Limache will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind de Cauquenes: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Independiente de Cauquenes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Limache is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Limache will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente de Cauquenes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente de Cauquenes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente de Cauquenes
Chilean Segunda Division
25.09.22	Iberia Los Ángeles - Independiente de Cauquenes	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Independiente de Cauquenes - Real San Joaquín	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	San Antonio Unido - Independiente de Cauquenes	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Independiente de Cauquenes - Lautaro de Buin	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Trasandino de Los Andes - Independiente de Cauquenes	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTLW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Segunda Division
25.09.22	Deportes Limache - San Marcos de Arica	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Limache	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Deportes Limache - Real San Joaquín	3:1 ✺
20.08.22	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Limache	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Deportes Limache - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
03.07.22	Deportes Limache - Independiente de Cauquenes	0:0
29.11.21	Deportes Limache - Independiente de Cauquenes	3:3
22.08.21	Independiente de Cauquenes - Deportes Limache	2:1

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