Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 33

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	Ingolstadt II		TSV Kottern

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.87	3.39
	1.92	3.82	3.3
	2.15	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.2)	3.76 ↓ (4)	3.16 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt II
46.2%

Draw
24.6%

TSV Kottern
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

22.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

22.1%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ingolstadt II's performance.

TSV Kottern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSV Kottern might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt II than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Kottern than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSV Kottern could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 and 5).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Kottern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ingolstadt II
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
13.05.23	Gundelfingen - Ingolstadt II	1:3 ✺
05.05.23	Ingolstadt II - Memmingen	0:2 ✺
28.04.23	Hallbergmoos-Goldach - Ingolstadt II	1:1 ✺
21.04.23	1860 Rosenheim - Ingolstadt II	0:5 ✺
15.04.23	Ingolstadt II - Ismaning	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTWW
- TSV Kottern
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
12.05.23	TSV Kottern - Ismaning	2:3 ✺
05.05.23	Erlbach - TSV Kottern	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	TSV Kottern - Kirchanschöring	2:2 ✺
21.04.23	Garching - TSV Kottern	0:5 ✺
15.04.23	TSV Kottern - Deisenhofen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
22.10.22	TSV Kottern - Ingolstadt II	3:1
21.05.22	TSV Kottern - Ingolstadt II	2:3
22.10.21	Ingolstadt II - TSV Kottern	0:0
21.09.19	Ingolstadt II - TSV Kottern	2:2

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