Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Inhulets (Petrove)

Referee: Omelchenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Inhulets		Obolon

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.37
	3.25	3.1	2.27
	2.84	3.15	2.53	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	3.55	3.24	2.09	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.73)	3.13 ↑ (3.13)	2.26 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
28.8%

Draw
29.9%

Obolon
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inhulets's form might have worsened.

Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Obolon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	5.1%	87.2%

Inhulets - Obolon Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Inhulets will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). Obolon will win (votes: 34 - 87.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Obolon: 76.7% – 97.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Inhulets (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Obolon will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Inhulets (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Obolon (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (C) 4. Dubilei V. 2. Malysh S. 3. Dykhtyaruk O. 9. Pushkaryov O. 20. Volokhatyi R. 42. Gadzhuk I. 17. Katrych V. 8. Pyatov O. 10. Sad V. 59. Mogylnyi B.	31. Marchenko D. (G) 11. Grysyo M. 3. Pryimak V. 37. Dubko V. 15. Stasyuk P. 95. Kurko V. 79. Ilyin O. 25. Grusha V. 17. Chernenko R. (C) 21. Bychek K. 9. Ustymenko D.
Substitutes
21. Benediuk A. 11. Chaban V. 7. Faraseyenko V. 99. Kyslenko S. 6. Losenko I. 14. Melenchuk A. 97. Popov N. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 87. Skorokhod M. 88. Svystun Vadymovych K. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)	7. Bliznichenko V. 1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 2. Karas D. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 13. Medynskyi I. 4. Moroz T. 5. Osman O. 23. Rybka O. (G) 10. Slobodyan O. 55. Sukhanov S. 8. Taranukha R. 99. Teslyuk D.
Coaches
Kobin V.	Shishenko S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Bychek K. ⚽, Ustymenko D. (A),
37', Gadzhuk I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gadzhuk I. ↓, Losenko I. ↑,
46', Bychek K. ↓, Bliznichenko V. ↑,
63', Chernenko R. ↓, Moroz T. ↑,
66', Dubilei V. ↓, Benediuk A. ↑,
66', Mogylnyi B. ↓, Kyslenko S. ↑,
69', Grusha V. ↓, Slobodyan O. ↑,
69', Ustymenko D. ↓, Sukhanov S. ↑,
79', Malysh S. 🟨,
87', Pushkaryov O. ↓, Chaban V. ↑,
89', Grysyo M. ↓, Karas D. ↑,
90', Kyslenko S. 🟨,
90+3', Moroz T. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 2.

Recent matches Inhulets is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Obolon has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Obolon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Inhulets have a series of home games.

Obolon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Inhulets won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
28.03.25	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Inhulets - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Inhulets - Kryvbas	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Inhulets - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TWLWL
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
29.03.25	Obolon - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
11.03.25	Oleksandriya - Obolon	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Zorya Luhansk - Obolon	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Obolon - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
29.09.24	Obolon - Inhulets	2:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.07.20	Obolon - Inhulets	1:1
06.10.19	Inhulets - Obolon	2:0
10.05.19	Inhulets - Obolon	3:2
14.10.18	Obolon - Inhulets	1:1
30.03.18	Obolon - Inhulets	1:0
26.08.17	Inhulets - Obolon	0:0

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