Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho (Kyiv)

Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Zorya Luhansk		Obolon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.8
	1.93	3.45	3.91
	2.70	2.09	4.53	Watch
	1.98	3.5	4.11	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.36)	3.15 ↑ (3.04)	4.05 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zorya Luhansk
45.9%

Draw
30.4%

Obolon
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zorya Luhansk's performance.

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Obolon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zorya Luhansk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Obolon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zorya Luhansk - Obolon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saputin O. (G) 10. Juninho 55. Jordan 5. Janjic A. 47. Vantukh R. 9. Slesar A. 6. Popara D. 19. Salenko R. 22. Micin P. 7. Andjusic N. 28. Budkivsky P. (C)	23. Stashkiv V. (G) 14. Ilyin O. 50. Semenov D. 3. Pryimak V. 37. Dubko V. 5. Shevchenko Y. 10. Slobodyan O. (C) 95. Kurko V. 6. Chekh M. 99. Teslyuk D. 40. Nesterenko I.
Substitutes
21. Basic J. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 4. Eskinja G. 24. Golovkin I. 11. Gorbach I. 31. Kosivskyi V. (G) 20. Matkevych A. 44. Perduta I. 36. Ruan Oliveira 12. Turbayevskyi M. (G)	21. Bychek K. 35. Chebotaryov V. (G) 17. Chernenko R. 28. Chornyi A. 22. Feshchenko O. 11. Grysyo M. 70. Korkh K. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 42. Pasich Y. 24. Prokopenko Y. 55. Sukhanov S. 9. Ustymenko D.
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.	Antonenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Semenov D. 🟨,
23', Micin P. 🟨,
33', Teslyuk D. ↓, Ustymenko D. ↑,
39', Vantukh R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Micin P. ↓, Matkevych A. ↑,
47', Chekh M. 🟨,
72', Nesterenko I. ↓, Bychek K. ↑,
72', Slobodyan O. ↓, Kulakovskyi A. ↑,
76', Salenko R. 🟨,
80', Andjusic N. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
80', Salenko R. ↓, Ruan Oliveira ↑,
83', Ustymenko D. ↓, Sukhanov S. ↑,
83', Chekh M. ↓, Prokopenko Y. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Zorya is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
22.09.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.08.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kryvbas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
22.09.25	Obolon - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Kryvbas - Obolon	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.08.25	Rukh Lviv - Obolon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.03.25	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	1:2
Ukrainian Premier League
07.03.25	Zorya Luhansk - Obolon	2:1
30.08.24	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	0:2
28.04.24	Zorya Luhansk - Obolon	0:0
20.10.23	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	2:4

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