Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Institute FC		Newry City

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.50	3.25
	1.9	3.5	3.45
	1.95	3.49	3.18
	1.96	3.63	3.31	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.1
	1.93	3.45	3.41
	1.87	3.5	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)	3.5 ↓ (3.69)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Institute FC
47%

Draw
25.7%

Newry City
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Institute FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Institute FC - Newry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Institute won 2.

Institute may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Institute is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Institute won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Institute won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	3	16
7	Newry City	10	4	3	3	16:18	-2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
22.08.26	Queens University Belfast - Institute FC	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Institute FC - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Armagh City - Institute FC	1:4 ✺
18.04.26	Institute FC - Ards	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWW
- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
21.08.26	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Newry City - Bangor	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
02.12.25	Newry City - Linfield	2:3 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
21.11.25	Newry City - Drumaness Mills	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Newry City - Loughgall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.04.25	Newry City - Institute FC	0:3
15.02.25	Institute FC - Newry City	1:1
12.10.24	Institute FC - Newry City	2:0
01.01.22	Institute FC - Newry City	0:0
16.10.21	Institute FC - Newry City	1:2
14.08.21	Newry City - Institute FC	5:1
Northern Irish League Cup
29.10.19	Newry City - Institute FC	0:1

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