Match Info

NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 37

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Institute FC		Ards

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.25	2.62
	2.46	3.2	2.56
	2.48	3.38	2.58	Watch
	2.45	3	2.5
	2.45	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Institute FC
36.6%

Draw
28.1%

Ards
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Institute FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Institute FC - Ards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Institute won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Institute won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Institute won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	3	16
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
11.04.26	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Institute FC - Warrenpoint Town	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dundela - Institute FC	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Loughgall - Institute FC	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Institute FC - Queens University Belfast	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWL
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
10.04.26	Ards - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ards - Dundela	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Ballinamallard United - Ards	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Dundela - Ards	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
24.01.26	Ards - Institute FC	0:0
25.10.25	Ards - Institute FC	0:3
16.08.25	Institute FC - Ards	2:2
18.03.25	Institute FC - Ards	2:3
16.11.24	Institute FC - Ards	2:4
28.09.24	Ards - Institute FC	0:0
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Institute FC - Ards	1:0

Institute FC - Ards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide