Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Instituto 2		Unión Santa Fe 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.15
	3.05	3.2	2.12	Watch
	3.17	3.57	2.25
	2.99	3.58	2.11	Watch
	2.9	3	2.15
	3.08	3.33	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.28)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	2.17 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto 2
30.2%

Draw
27.7%

Unión Santa Fe 2
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Instituto 2's form might have worsened.

Unión Santa Fe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Santa Fe 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Instituto 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Instituto 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

In recent matches, Instituto 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unión Santa Fe 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Instituto 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Instituto 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Instituto 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.06.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Instituto 2	2:2 ✺
03.06.26	Instituto 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:3 ✺
27.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Instituto 2	2:3 ✺
21.05.26	Instituto 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	River Plate 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLWWL
- Unión Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
08.06.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:1 ✺
28.05.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Barracas Central 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
05.09.25	Instituto 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:0
19.03.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Instituto 2	1:0
03.02.23	Instituto 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:0

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