Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	River Plate 2		Instituto 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.45	4.55
	1.59	3.67	5.62
	1.71	3.31	4.96	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.68	3.42	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	3.45 ↑ (3.31)	4.96 (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
55.4%

Draw
26.3%

Instituto 2
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.8%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Instituto 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

River Plate 2 - Instituto 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Spiff J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Instituto 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, River Plate 2 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate 2 - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.72%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	2:2 ✺
28.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	2:3 ✺
22.04.26	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	River Plate 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Aldosivi 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLTW
- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	Instituto 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Racing Club 2 - Instituto 2	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
16.04.26	Instituto 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:2 ✺
09.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
23.07.25	Instituto 2 - River Plate 2	1:0
26.02.25	River Plate 2 - Instituto 2	2:2
03.10.24	Instituto 2 - River Plate 2	1:1
25.04.24	River Plate 2 - Instituto 2	1:0
05.11.23	Instituto 2 - River Plate 2	3:1
20.06.23	Instituto 2 - River Plate 2	3:1

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