Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:15	AFA Play, HBO Max, TNT Sports
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Usa	20:15	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes
Venezuela	20:15	Inter
International	00:15	TyC Sports Internacional


	Instituto Córdoba		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.20	5.50
	1.78	3.10	5.25
	1.74	3.30	5.30	Watch
	1.85	3.22	5.60
	1.91	3.2	4.64	Watch
	1.81	3.15	5.45
	1.78	3.23	5.83	Watch
	1.78	3.15	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	5.35 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto Córdoba
52.6%

Draw
29.7%

Deportivo Riestra
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

28.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

27%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: Instituto Córdoba will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Ledesma M. (G) 30. Galvan J. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 2. De La Fuente H. 55. Abregu G. 15. Gallardo M. 3. Sosa D. 21. Lazaro J. 10. Luna A. 17. Tissera M.	23. Arzamendia M. (G) 24. Mino F. 2. Quintana C. 22. Paz C. 5. Ramirez P. 16. Watson N. 8. Celiz M. (C) 36. Bracamonte M. 9. Benegas N. 40. Obredor G. 29. Graneros A.
Substitutes
8. Acevedo J. 32. Bravo A. 44. Cerato G. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 11. Fonseca M. 7. Guerra N. 22. Massaccesi A. 23. Meli A. 13. Mendez J. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G) 9. Suarez F. 14. Viera W.	7. Alonso A. 11. Diaz A. 13. Gallo R. 6. Gariglio I. 27. Goitia J. 21. Gonzalez T. 20. Lauro T. 12. Lopez I. (G) 14. Monje P. 19. Randazzo J. 10. Sanchez B. 3. Tovo E.
Coaches
Flores D.	Duro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Luna A. 🟨,
42', Galvan J. 🟨,
42', Obredor G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Benegas N. 🟨,
62', De La Fuente H. ↓, Cerato G. ↑,
62', Tissera M. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
62', Luna A. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
70', Obredor G. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
70', Quintana C. ↓, Gariglio I. ↑,
76', Celiz M. 🟨,
82', Mino F. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Lazaro J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Gallardo M. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
87', Benegas N. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
87', Graneros A. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
87', Watson N. ↓, Goitia J. ↑,
90+3', Lazaro J. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 13th).

Instituto is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 3.

Instituto is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Deportivo Riestra is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Instituto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Instituto for this game.

Confirmed absences for Instituto: Albarracin L. (Muscle Injury) Cerato G. (Inactive) Erquiaga I. (Thigh Injury) Moyano F. (Muscle Injury) Rafaelli L. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Deportivo Riestra: Stringa A. (Inactive).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Instituto has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:6 (averaging 1.2:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Instituto against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Instituto: 17.01%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.10.26	Defensa y Justicia - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Instituto Córdoba - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
02.10.26	Independiente - Instituto Córdoba	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Instituto Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWWW
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.26	Deportivo Riestra - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Deportivo Riestra - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Córdoba	0:1
20.10.25	Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
13.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	3:0
30.11.24	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.01.24	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
Copa Argentina
07.06.23	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.08.22	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:1

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