Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:30	AFA Play, ESPN Premium, FOX Sports, TNT Sports
Bolivia	18:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Colombia	17:30	ESPN
Croatia	00:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	17:30	ESPN
Israel	01:30	Sport 4
Italy	00:30	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	00:30	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	16:30	Disney+
North Macedonia	00:30	Arena Premium 3
Paraguay	19:30	ESPN
Peru	17:30	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	00:30	Arena Premium 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Switzerland	00:30	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	01:30	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	19:30	Disney+
Usa	18:30	Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
International	22:30	OneFootball TV


	Instituto Córdoba		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.82	2.5	Watch
	3.25	3.00	2.30
	3.2	2.85	2.52	Watch
	3.3	2.94	2.6
	3.15	2.96	2.52	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.5
	3.08	2.95	2.57	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.77)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	2.5 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto Córdoba
29.6%

Draw
32.5%

Boca Juniors
37.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.8%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

31.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	38.5%	53.8%

Instituto Córdoba - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 50%). Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Ledesma M. (G) 30. Galvan J. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 44. Cerato G. 55. Abregu G. 15. Gallardo M. 3. Sosa D. 21. Lazaro J. 10. Luna A. 17. Tissera M.	1. Montero A. (G) 27. Braida M. 2. Di Lollo L. 26. Pellegrino M. 3. Blanco L. (C) 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 18. Delgado M. 19. Flores L. 7. Carlos Palacios 22. Villa S. 13. Valencia E.
Substitutes
8. Acevedo J. 32. Bravo A. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 2. De La Fuente H. 11. Fonseca M. 7. Guerra N. 22. Massaccesi A. 23. Meli A. 13. Mendez J. 19. Sanseviero L. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G) 9. Suarez F.	11. Angel Romero 25. Ascacibar S. 6. Battaglia R. 12. Brey L. (G) 32. Costa A. 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 24. Gorosito D. 42. Herrera F. 16. Miguel Merentiel 5. Paredes L. 53. Ruiz J.
Coaches
Flores D.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Alarcon F. R. ⚽,
22', Abregu G. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Valencia E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cerato G. ↓, De La Fuente H. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Galvan J. ⚽, Mosevich L. (A),
53', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 🟨,
55', Delgado M. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
55', Valencia E. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
56', 2 - 2, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
71', Tissera M. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
71', Lazaro J. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,
71', Paredes L. ↓, Ascacibar S. ↑,
71', Villa S. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
76', Braida M. 🟨,
79', Luna A. 🟨,
79', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
80', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,
85', Gallardo M. 🟨,
88', Luna A. ↓, Sanseviero L. ↑,
88', Gallardo M. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).

Instituto has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Boca Juniors is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Boca Juniors may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Instituto: Albarracin L. (Muscle Injury) Cordoba Mosquera J. E. (Muscle Injury) Erquiaga I. (Thigh Injury) Moyano F. (Muscle Injury) Rafaelli L. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Boca Juniors: Aranda T. (Knee Injury) Bareiro A. (Lower Back Injury) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Belmonte T. (Inactive) Marchesin A. (Knee Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Inactive).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Instituto has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Instituto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Boca Juniors: 15.63% Instituto: 10.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.10.26	Independiente - Instituto Córdoba	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Instituto Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Unión Santa Fe - Instituto Córdoba	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.10.26	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.09.26	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.09.26	San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.09.26	São Paulo - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.09.26	Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.03.26	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:0
28.07.24	Instituto Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:0
19.03.23	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:3

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