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Current Win Probability
Inter FA 23.6%
Draw 27.1%
CD FAS 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
25.9%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
25.2%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Inter FA have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
CD FAS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter FA than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Inter FA - CD FAS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Mauricio E. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Mauricio E. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 2 - 1, Yan Maciel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', Santamaria K. 🟥,
79', 🟥,
90+9', 2 - 2, Medrano E. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
Inter FA is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
FAS is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Inter FA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
FAS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
FAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, FAS has had a series of away games.
In this match, FAS is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter FA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, Inter FA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
FAS
12
7
3
2
22:11
11
24
Last Results with these Odds
CD FAS - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.45%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.