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Current Win Probability
Alianza San Miguel 32%
Draw 31.1%
CD FAS 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
31.5%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
31.4%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Alianza San Miguel - CD FAS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', Orellana N. 🟥,
82', (Penalty Awarded),
83', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
FAS is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
FAS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
FAS
12
7
3
2
22:11
11
24
6
Alianza FC
12
4
6
2
19:17
2
18
Last Results with these Odds
CD FAS - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.