The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millonarios 49.8%
Draw 28.7%
Independiente Santa Fe 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
28.6%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
27.7%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Rodriguez J. (G) 13. Leal M. 26. Benavides M. 14. Carabali E. 17. Tamayo L. 10. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 11. Salazar L. (C) 4. Bolano L. 79. Restrepo K. 16. Gomez L. 7. Celis D.
1. Martinez W. (G) 21. Valbuena K. 4. Perez A. 33. Tovar L. 3. Motta C. 5. Baldallo M. 16. Hernandez K. 24. Marcano T. 7. Zamorano M. 17. Garavito D. 13. de la Cruz I.
Substitutes
15. Calvo L. 12. Gamboa D. (G) 6. Herrera M. 25. Olaya R. 9. Sanchez I. 27. Valencia K. 23. Vera S.
23. Cabrera M. 14. Castaneda A. 35. Cortes I. 22. Diaz M. (G) 9. Graterol F. 19. Huertas G. 20. Orozco N. 25. Posada S. 31. Valencia S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Zamorano M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Garavito D. ⚽, Zamorano M. (A),
43', Baldallo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', de la Cruz I. ↓, Graterol F. ↑,
46', Leal M. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
46', Castaneda Vanegas A. J. ↓, Calvo L. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Sanchez I. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
62', 1 - 2, Zamorano M. ⚽, Marcano T. (A),
65', Salazar L. 🟨,
68', Baldallo M. ↓, Huertas G. ↑,
73', Garavito D. ↓, Orozco N. ↑,
76', Motta C. 🟨,
84', Carabali E. ↓, Olaya R. ↑,
85', Graterol F. ↓, Cortes I. ↑,
90+3', Celis D. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 2-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
In this matchup, Millonarios is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Millonarios has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:23 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Millonarios against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 0.9:1.1 per game).
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Rodriguez J. (G) 
Benavides M. 
Baldallo M. 
Castaneda A. 
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