The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Intercity 43.4%
Draw 29.8%
Algeciras 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
29.3%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28.3%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Intercity - Algeciras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 4. Hernandez A. 15. Perez A. 20. Codina M. 21. Sito 6. Gracia J. 23. Gonzalez N. 5. Llonch P. 7. Zequi 14. Elady
13. Garcia L. (G) 2. Roldan R. 4. Spatz L. M. 5. Gaixas A. 3. Merchan D. 10. Esteban Diego 6. Montes E. 16. Aviles J. 14. Javi Alonso 11. Sanchez T. 7. Rodri
Substitutes
18. Burlamaqui A. 19. De Santis J. 1. Freixanet P. (G) 24. Gil A. 17. Jimenez E. 10. Martinez B. 3. Mendibe M. 22. Montero Sergio 8. Nsue E. 11. Roige Rodriguez P.
20. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 21. Celorio N. 22. Coch A. 23. Gomez J. 18. Hernandez Garcia J. 19. Illesca M. 17. Leiva A. 8. Turrillo I. 1. Venteo I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Montes E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Codina M. 🟨,
66', Sito ↓, Nsue E. ↑,
66', Elady ↓, Roige Rodriguez P. ↑,
71', Aviles J. ↓, Hernandez Garcia J. ↑,
74', Codina M. ↓, Jimenez E. ↑,
74', Esteban Diego ↓, Turrillo I. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Montes E. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
83', Llonch P. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
83', Zequi ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
86', Gaixas A. 🟨,
86', Javi Alonso ↓, Coch A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
Preview
Recent matches Intercity is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Algeciras is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Algeciras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Intercity will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Intercity won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Intercity won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.