Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Algeciras		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	2	3	3.8
	2	3.02	4.19	Watch
	2	2.8	3.8
	1.97	2.91	4.03
	1.96	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	3.95 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
45.9%

Draw
31.2%

Sevilla B
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

31.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

30.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Sevilla B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Algeciras - Sevilla B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeciras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 3. Marquez J. 6. Mayorga A. 15. Ruiz V. 11. Sanchez T. 19. Obeng I. 20. Alamo J. 24. Castro O. 7. Rastrojo J. 21. Garcia J. 8. Turrillo I. (C)	13. Flores A. (C) 12. Kpebane T. 14. Jalade R. 19. Martinez S. 3. Lopez D. 6. Rivera P. 27. Guillen N. 42. Ciria A. 17. Sow I. 10. Collado A. 9. Costa A.
Substitutes
22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 2. Arauz C. 17. Aviles J. 4. Coch A. 10. Garrido D. 16. Gomez A. 9. Gonzaga M. 14. Nader A. 30. Perez M. (G)	31. Alcaide E. 8. Altozano E. 28. Castillo M. 23. Dominguez I. 24. Espineira A. 36. Fernandez M. 25. Luchino L. (G) 35. Mendez T. 2. Moreno J. 32. Naranjo M. 20. Raihani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Costa A. 🟨,
11', Ruiz V. 🟨,
37', Guillen N. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Ruiz V. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Rastrojo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Costa A. 🟨,
71', Sow I. ↓, Castillo M. ↑,
71', Lopez D. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
77', Ciria A. 🟥,
80', 3 - 0, Gonzaga M. ⚽,
88', Guillen N. ↓, Altozano E. ↑,
88', Kpebane T. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sevilla B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Algeciras is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.12.25	Algeciras - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Teruel - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ibiza - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLW
- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.25	Sevilla B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Sevilla B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Sevilla B - Marbella	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sabadell - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.25	Sevilla B - Algeciras	1:0
01.09.24	Algeciras - Sevilla B	1:1
07.05.22	Algeciras - Sevilla B	3:0
01.10.21	Sevilla B - Algeciras	1:3
Club Friendly
29.09.20	Algeciras - Sevilla B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.02.20	Sevilla B - Algeciras	3:2
22.09.19	Algeciras - Sevilla B	3:0

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