Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 13

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Internacional RS		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	7	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.5
	1.58	3.7	6.1
	1.59	3.88	6.78
				Watch
	1.67	3.5	5.5
	1.59	3.81	6.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)	3.7 ↑ (3.65)	6.25 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
59.1%

Draw
25.7%

Vitória Salvador
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

26%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	14.3%	17.1%

Internacional RS - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Vitória will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 53.2% – 84%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 14 - 70%). Vitória (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Internacional (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Vitória (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Vitória (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Vitória (4.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Vitória (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 35. Aguirre B. 4. Vitao 20. Clayton Sampaio 41. Victor Gabriel 29. Thiago Maia 8. Bruno Henrique 10. Alan Patrick (C) 19. Borre R. 21. Wesley 7. Carbonero J.	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 27. Caceres R. 5. Lucas Halter (C) 3. Ze Marcos 66. Maykon Jesus 44. Baralhas 29. Willian Oliveira 8. Ronald Lopes 10. Matheuzinho 22. Lucas Braga 79. Renato Kayzer
Substitutes
24. Anthoni (G) 23. Benitez A. 17. Bruno Tabata 33. Diego Rosa 47. Gustavo Prado 27. Kaique Rocha 39. Luis Otavio 25. Mercado G. 2. Ramon 49. Ricardo Mathias 11. Romero O. 13. Valencia E.	99. Carlinhos 2. Claudinho 26. Edenilson 43. Edu 23. Fabricio 38. Leo Pereira 33. Lopez R. 11. Osvaldo 6. Pepe 28. Ricardo Ryller 12. Thiago Couto (G)
Coaches
Roger Machado	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Clayton Sampaio 🟨,
26', Baralhas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Clayton Sampaio ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
61', Bruno Henrique ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
69', Thiago Maia 🟨,
69', Ronald Lopes ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
70', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
71', Carbonero J. ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
79', Wesley ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
79', Borre R. ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
84', Lucas Braga ↓, Pepe ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Bruno Tabata ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 3.

Internacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vitória is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Internacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Internacional is the team to beat.

There will not play in Internacional: Bernabei A. (Hamstring Injury) Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Fernando (Knee Injury) Mercado G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Fabricio (Inactive) Neris (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Hugo (Calf Injury) Jamerson (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
12.06.25	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Internacional RS - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.25	Internacional RS - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Sport Recife - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.25	Maracanã - Internacional RS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWTW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.07.25	Vitória Salvador - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.06.25	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Corinthians - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Vitória Salvador - Santos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.09.24	Internacional RS - Vitória Salvador	3:1
16.06.24	Vitória Salvador - Internacional RS	2:1
Copa do Brasil
10.06.21	Internacional RS - Vitória Salvador	1:3
03.06.21	Vitória Salvador - Internacional RS	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
30.09.18	Internacional RS - Vitória Salvador	2:1
30.05.18	Vitória Salvador - Internacional RS	2:3
Copa do Brasil
19.04.18	Vitória Salvador - Internacional RS	2:0 penalties

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