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Current Win Probability
Internacional de Palmira 47.3%
Draw 28.6%
Real Cundinamarca 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
23.8%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.6%
25.5%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional de Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Internacional de Palmira's form might have worsened.
Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Cundinamarca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional de Palmira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Cundinamarca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Internacional de Palmira - Real Cundinamarca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Cuesta W. (G) 9. Brochero R. 19. Gonzalez K. 3. Mejia A. 7. Mosquera J. 14. Orozco D. 16. Ortiz B. 11. Padilla Kevin 31. Popo J. 29. Ramirez C. 80. Suarez H.
1. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. 10. Amaya J. 17. Cuellar K. 4. Florez S. 31. Obregon L. 28. Rios C. 2. Suaza J. 27. Uribe C. 23. Vidal K. 16. Zambrano C.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 13. Angulo J. 23. Correa R. 15. Maturana J. 21. Moreno J. 1. Perez A. (G) 5. Rodallega J. 6. Velez Carey J. J. 32. Viveros E.
14. Castro B. 3. Estupinan A. 26. Fernandez J. 8. Gomez C. 12. Mosquera D. (G) 25. Saavedra G. 7. Valencia Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 🟨,
16', 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Vidal K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acosta O. ↓, Castro B. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Cuellar K. ⚽,
57', Vidal K. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
57', Rios C. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
57', Amaya J. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
63', Zambrano C. 🟨,
63', Cuellar K. ↓, Estupinan A. ↑,
69', 🟨,
74', Uribe C. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Inter Palmira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Cundinamarca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Inter Palmira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Inter Palmira is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Inter Palmira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Colombia
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Cuesta W. (G) 
Fernandez J. 
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