The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ionikos Nikaias 40.6%
Draw 31%
Atromitos Athens 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
30%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
31.1%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ionikos Nikaias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Atromitos Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atromitos Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
39.3%
46.4%
14.3%
Ionikos Nikaias - Atromitos Athens Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Ionikos will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Atromitos will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% โ 64.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ionikos has the most likely position - 8 (12.87%), has project points - 42, has currently - 1, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Atromitos has the most likely position - 10 (12.1%), has project points - 39, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality28, small importance18, small match rating23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Ionikos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Atromitos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Atromitos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Ionikos will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ionikos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Ionikos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Serbia
Slovenia
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