Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 18

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	Ipswich FC		South West Queensland Thunder

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.8	3.1
	1.85	3.9	3.15
	1.9	3.97	3.23
	1.92	4.11	3.28	Watch
	1.87	3.95	3.21
	2.02	4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.96 ↓ (4)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich FC
47.9%

Draw
23.1%

South West Queensland Thunder
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

22.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

South West Queensland Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich FC than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South West Queensland Thunder than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Ipswich FC - South West Queensland Thunder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, ⚽,
77', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 10)

Ipswich has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SWQ Thunder is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich FC Australia
Australian Queensland Premier League
12.07.25	Holland Park Hawks - Ipswich FC	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Southside Eagles - Ipswich FC	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ipswich FC - Holland Park Hawks	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Capalaba - Ipswich FC	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Ipswich FC - Caboolture Sports	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWWL
- South West Queensland Thunder
Australian Queensland Premier League
12.07.25	South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	South West Queensland Thunder - Rochedale Rovers	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Rochedale Rovers - South West Queensland Thunder	6:0 ✺
22.06.25	South West Queensland Thunder - Brisbane Strikers	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Magic United - South West Queensland Thunder	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
13.04.25	South West Queensland Thunder - Ipswich FC	2:1
01.06.24	Ipswich FC - South West Queensland Thunder	2:1

Ipswich FC - South West Queensland Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide