Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 10

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: John Frederick Park (Redlands)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Capalaba		Ipswich FC

	1	X	2
	4.35	4.15	1.58
	4.46	4.36	1.6
	2.47	4.25	2.30	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.57
	4.67	4	1.57	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.4)	4.04 ↑ (3.6)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capalaba
23.7%

Draw
23.1%

Ipswich FC
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.3%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

24.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ipswich FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich FC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Capalaba - Ipswich FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 🟥,
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, ⚽,
85', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: )).

Capalaba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ipswich is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ipswich is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Capalaba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
24.04.26	Capalaba - North Star	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Capalaba - Redlands United	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	St. George Willawong - Capalaba	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Capalaba - Broadbeach United	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWL
- Ipswich FC Australia
Australian Queensland Premier League
25.04.26	Ipswich FC - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	North Star - Ipswich FC	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Ipswich FC - Logan Lightning	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Holland Park Hawks - Ipswich FC	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Ipswich FC - Brisbane Strikers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
21.06.25	Capalaba - Ipswich FC	0:3
22.03.25	Ipswich FC - Capalaba	2:4
29.06.24	Ipswich FC - Capalaba	1:1
08.06.24	Capalaba - Ipswich FC	0:5

Capalaba - Ipswich FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide