The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ipswich Town 31.2%
Draw 25.4%
Sunderland 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
25.7%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
24%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ipswich Town - Sunderland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Proulx L. (G) 12. Neville G. 20. Wearing M. 23. Weir K. (C) 22. Roe B. 6. Mitchell L. 26. Meena M. 32. Baker A. 10. O'Brien L. 7. Thomas N. 9. Dean R.
1. Lambourne D. (G) 11. Brown J. 5. Roberts R. (C) 27. Westrup B. 17. Finn J. 21. Sheva M. 14. Fenton N. 7. Watson K. 10. Kitching K. 26. Griffiths M. 9. Dale E.
Substitutes
99. Ademiluyi P. 25. Ashworth-Clifford L. 2. Boswell M. 21. Cavanagh C. 4. Fleming C. 16. Graham K. 1. Negri N. (G) 24. Paige P. 17. Peskett S.
37. Blades R. 12. Cassap E. 4. Greenwood H. 20. Jones E. 18. McInnes L. 16. Moloney G. (G) 33. Parker E. 31. Paxton C. 8. Scarr E.
Coaches
Wright D.
Reay M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Baker A. ⚽, Neville G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Roberts R. 🟨,
63', Kitching K. ↓, McInnes L. ↑,
63', Watson K. ↓, Scarr E. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Dale E. ⚽,
70', Fenton N. ↓, Cassap E. ↑,
79', Thomas N. ↓, Ademiluyi P. ↑,
79', Dean R. ↓, Graham K. ↑,
79', O'Brien L. ↓, Ashworth-Clifford L. ↑,
79', Baker A. ↓, Peskett S. ↑,
80', Finn J. ↓, Greenwood H. ↑,
80', Griffiths M. ↓, Parker E. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Weir K. ⚽, Ashworth-Clifford L. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ipswich won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.