Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 9

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)


	Newcastle United		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.05	5.5
	1.5	4.02	5.87
	1.54	4.12	5.12	Watch
	1.46	3.96	6.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.04 ↑ (3.95)	5.65 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
61.2%

Draw
22.6%

Sunderland
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Newcastle United - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tamminen A. (G) 2. Wardlaw C. 25. Mannion A. 12. Cooper D. 3. Stokes D. (C) 6. Boddy E. 20. Sevenius O. 4. Nobbs J. 10. Pike M. 26. Lumsden B. 9. Hayles S.	16. Moloney G. (G) 3. Corbyn M. 5. Roberts R. (C) 4. Greenwood H. 6. Griffiths L. 17. Finn J. 14. Fenton N. 10. Kitching K. 8. Scarr E. 19. Barry K. 9. Dale E.
Substitutes
99. Cataldo L. 29. Fox J. 15. Grec M. 11. Gregory F. 8. Kelly E. 21. McQuade J. 13. Moan C. (G) 35. Murphy E. 5. Purfield J.	11. Brown J. 20. Jones E. 1. Lambourne D. (G) 18. McInnes L. 22. O'Hanlon T. 25. Rabjohn E. 21. Sheva M. 7. Watson K. 27. Westrup B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Fenton N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Boddy E. ↓, Kelly E. ↑,
48', Corbyn M. 🟨,
58', Pike M. ↓, Murphy E. ↑,
58', Mannion A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Cooper D. ⚽, Nobbs J. (A),
66', 2 - 0, Murphy E. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Kitching K. ⚽, Scarr E. (A),
71', Kelly E. ↓, McQuade J. ↑,
73', Stokes D. 🟨,
76', Dale E. ↓, Sheva M. ↑,
76', Kitching K. ↓, Jones E. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Murphy E. ⚽, Sevenius O. (A),
83', Corbyn M. ↓, Rabjohn E. ↑,
83', Barry K. ↓, Watson K. ↑,
88', Sevenius O. ↓, Gregory F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

Recent performances by Newcastle have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sunderland is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sunderland has had a series of home games.

In this match, Newcastle is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United Women
English WSL 2
09.11.25	Durham - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ipswich Town - Newcastle United	1:4 ✺
English League Cup Women
19.10.25	Newcastle United - Manchester City	3:4 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
12.10.25	Newcastle United - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLTT
- Sunderland AFC Ladies
English WSL 2
09.11.25	Sunderland - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Sunderland - Bristol City	2:4 ✺
English League Cup Women
19.10.25	Sunderland - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
English WSL 2
12.10.25	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sunderland - Charlton Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
23.03.25	Newcastle United - Sunderland	1:0
13.10.24	Sunderland - Newcastle United	1:2

Newcastle United - Sunderland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide