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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United 67.3%
Draw 19.2%
Sunderland 13.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58%
23.3%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
22.1%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Newcastle United - Sunderland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Rendell K. (G) 27. McLauchlan R. (C) 25. Mannion A. 5. Purfield J. 2. Wardlaw C. 16. Antonsdottir H. 19. Bradley K. 26. Lumsden B. 17. Thomas M. 10. Lambert M. 4. Nobbs J.
18. Schumacher N. (G) 2. Bose R. 31. Paxton C. 27. Westrup B. 3. Corbyn M. 14. Fenton N. 21. Sheva M. 19. Dent L. 10. Kitching K. 33. Parker E. 8. Scarr E.
Substitutes
23. Evans G. 30. Gale J. 11. Gregory F. 22. Joel L. 33. Kiernan L. 9. McGovern K. 15. Nemeth H. 20. Sevenius O. 1. Tamminen A. (G)
6. Bourne T. 11. Brown J. 12. Cassap E. 16. Franssi S. 9. Hughes E. 77. Laplacette T. 23. Missipo K. 1. Stenson F. (G) 7. Watson K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Lambert M. 🟨,
32', Dent L. 🟨,
36', Antonsdottir H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dent L. ↓, Watson K. ↑,
46', Parker E. ↓, Franssi S. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Kitching K. ⚽, Watson K. (A),
59', Lambert M. ↓, McGovern K. ↑,
60', Antonsdottir H. ↓, Gregory F. ↑,
65', Thomas M. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Lumsden B. ↓, Kiernan L. ↑,
70', Kitching K. ↓, Missipo K. ↑,
81', Bradley K. ↓, Joel L. ↑,
81', Scarr E. ↓, Hughes E. ↑,
87', Gregory F. 🟨,
Preview
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Newcastle carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Newcastle in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newcastle against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).
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Rendell K. (G) 
McLauchlan R. (C) 
Mannion A. 
Antonsdottir H. 
Schumacher N. (G) 
Kitching K. 
Evans G. 
Nemeth H. 
Sevenius O. 
Cassap E. 
Laplacette T. 
Missipo K. 
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