Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Iraklis Thermaikou		Thermaikos

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5.15
	1.49	3.75	6.1
	1.52	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)	3.74 ↑ (3.65)	5.42 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Iraklis Thermaikou
59.4%

Draw
24%

Thermaikos
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

20.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraklis Thermaikou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Thermaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis Thermaikou than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iraklis Thermaikou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thermaikos than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Iraklis Thermaikou - Thermaikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 1 (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 1 (Losers stage: )).

Recent performances by Iraklis Thermaikou have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Thermaikos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Iraklis Thermaikou is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iraklis Thermaikou won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Iraklis Thermaikou	22	10	8	4	31:18	13	38
9	Thermaikos FC	22	6	4	12	19:32	-13	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraklis Thermaikou
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
18.01.26	Iraklis Thermaikou - Kilkisiakos	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Apollon Krya Vrysi - Iraklis Thermaikou	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Iraklis Thermaikou - Aetos Ofryniou	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	PAOK Kristonis - Iraklis Thermaikou	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Iraklis Thermaikou - PAOK Dytikou	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLLT
- Thermaikos FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
18.01.26	Thermaikos - Doxa Dramas	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Panthrakikos - Thermaikos	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Thermaikos - Poseidonas Michanionas	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Orestis Orestiadas - Thermaikos	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Thermaikos - Kilkisiakos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
26.10.25	Thermaikos - Iraklis Thermaikou	1:2

Iraklis Thermaikou - Thermaikos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide