Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 8

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Referee: Al Kaf Ahmed (Oma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, RTHK TV 32
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, Vidio
Ireland	Shabake 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
North-central-america	ESPN 5 Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Qatar	Shoof
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Nova Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	Iran		Uzbekistan

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	5	Watch
	1.88	2.95	5
	1.95	3	4.5
	1.87	3.01	5.05	Watch
				Watch
	2	2.91	4.78	Watch
	1.95	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.8)	2.96 ↓ (3.11)	4.81 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iran
48.7%

Draw
31.8%

Uzbekistan
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

29.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Uzbekistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	67.3%	7.7%

Iran - Uzbekistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Iran will win (votes: 13 - 25%). Uzbekistan will win (votes: 4 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 35 - 67.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54.5% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beiranvand A. (G) Tractor 2. Hardani S. Esteghlal TEH 13. Kanaani H. Persepolis 4. Khalilzadeh S. Tractor 5. Mohammadi M. Persepolis 6. Ezatolahi S. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 14. Ghoddos S. Ittihad Kalba 7. Jahanbakhsh A. (C) Heerenveen 9. Taremi M. Inter 10. Ghayedi M. Ittihad Kalba 20. Azmoun S. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	1. Yusupov U. (G) Foolad 15. Eshmurodov U. Nasaf Qarshi 2. Khusanov A. Manchester City 5. Ashurmatov R. Rubin Kazan 3. Alizhonov K. Pakhtakor 7. Shukurov O. Al Fayha 9. Khamrobekov O. Bunyodkor 4. Sayfiev F. Neftchi Fargona 22. Fayzullaev A. CSKA Moscow 20. Erkinov K. Al Wahda 14. Shomurodov E. (C) AS Roma
Substitutes
18. Alipour A. Persepolis 11. Gholizadeh A. Lech Poznan 3. Ghorbani M. Al Wahda 15. Hazbavi M. Sepahan 22. Hosseini H. (G) Esteghlal TEH 8. Hosseinnejad M. Dynamo Makhachkala 16. Hosseinzadeh A. Tractor 17. Karimi M. Sepahan 19. Nemati A. Foolad 12. Niazmand P. (G) Sepahan 21. Noorafkan O. Malavan 23. Yousefi A. Sepahan	10. Abdikholikov B. SumQayit FK 19. Abdirakhmatov Z. Nasaf Qarshi 18. Abdullaev A. Pakhtakor 17. Buriev A. Pakhtakor 16. Ergashev B. (G) Neftchi Fargona 13. Gaybullaev G. Nasaf Qarshi 8. Iskanderov J. Neftchi Fargona 11. Jiyanov R. Navbahor Namangan 21. Komilov D. Qizilqum 6. Mozgovoy A. Nasaf Qarshi 12. Nematov A. (G) Nasaf Qarshi 23. Yuldoshev I. Neftchi Fargona
Coaches
Ghalenoei A.	Kapadze T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Erkinov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Taremi M. ⚽, Azmoun S. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Fayzullaev A. ⚽,
66', Erkinov K. ↓, Jiyanov R. ↑,
69', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
81', Mohammadi M. ↓, Noorafkan O. ↑,
81', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Karimi M. ↑,
81', Hardani S. ↓, Yousefi A. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Taremi M. ⚽, Kanaani H. (A),
86', Khamrobekov O. ↓, Buriev A. ↑,
90+2', Ghayedi M. ↓, Nemati A. ↑,
90+5', Shukurov O. ↓, Mozgovoy A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iran won 2.

In this match Iran is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Iran won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iran
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Iran - United Arab Emirates	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Kyrgyzstan - Iran	2:3 ✺
14.11.24	North Korea - Iran	2:3 ✺
15.10.24	Iran - Qatar	4:1 ✺
10.10.24	Uzbekistan - Iran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWT
- Uzbekistan
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Uzbekistan - Kyrgyzstan	1:0 ✺
Friendly
27.01.25	Uzbekistan - Jordan	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
19.11.24	North Korea - Uzbekistan	0:1 ✺
14.11.24	Qatar - Uzbekistan	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Uzbekistan - United Arab Emirates	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Uzbekistan - Iran	0:0
11.06.24	Iran - Uzbekistan	0:0
21.11.23	Uzbekistan - Iran	2:2
CAFA Nations Cup
20.06.23	Uzbekistan - Iran	0:1
Friendly
08.10.20	Uzbekistan - Iran	1:2
11.09.18	Uzbekistan - Iran	0:1
19.05.18	Iran - Uzbekistan	1:0

Iran - Uzbekistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide