Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Referee: Araki Y. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	Shabake 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go
Mexico	ESPN
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN 3
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	SportKlub 3, TDM Desporto
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Iran		Qatar

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.25
	1.66	3.6	5.5
	1.67	3.57	5.99
	1.71	3.62	4.88	Watch
	1.68	3.74	5.3	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)	3.62 ↓ (4.02)	5.45 ↓ (7.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Iran
56.5%

Draw
26.1%

Qatar
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iran's form might have worsened.

Qatar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	4.5%	18.2%

Iran - Qatar Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Iran will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Qatar will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iran: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beiranvand A. (G) Tractor 17. Karimi M. Sepahan 4. Khalilzadeh S. Tractor 13. Nemati A. Foolad 5. Mohammadi M. Persepolis 10. Ghayedi M. Ittihad Kalba 8. Mohebi M. FK Rostov 20. Azmoun S. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 6. Ezatolahi S. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 21. Noorafkan O. Malavan 9. Taremi M. Inter	22. Barsham M. (G) Al-Sadd 5. Salman T. Al-Sadd 16. Khoukhi B. Al-Sadd 12. Lucas Mendes Al Wakra 3. Hassan A. Al Wakra 8. Gaber J. Al Arabi (Qatar) 6. Hatem A. Al Rayyan 20. Fathi A. Al Arabi (Qatar) 9. Edmilson Junior Al-Duhail 10. Afif A. Al-Sadd 19. Ali A. Al-Duhail
Substitutes
14. Daneshgar M. Sepahan 11. Gholizadeh A. Lech Poznan 3. Ghorbani M. Orenburg 15. Hazbavi M. Sepahan 22. Hosseini H. (G) Esteghlal TEH 2. Hosseinnejad M. Dynamo Makhachkala 18. Hosseinzadeh A. Tractor 7. Jahanbakhsh A. 19. Moghanlou S. Ittihad Kalba 12. Niazmand P. (G) Sepahan 16. Torabi M. Tractor 23. Yousefi A. Sepahan	11. Abdurisag Y. Al-Sadd 7. Alaaeldin A. Al Arabi (Qatar) 18. Al Brake S. Al-Duhail 15. Al Ganehi A. Al-Gharafa 13. Al Hassan I. Al Rayyan 2. Ali A. Al Wakra 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) Al-Sadd 14. Al Yazidi A. Al-Sadd 17. Mohammed I. Al-Duhail 23. Moustafa A. Al Ahli 4. Waad M. Al-Sadd 21. Zakaria S. (G)
Coaches
Ghalenoei A.	Marquez T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Ali A. ⚽, Lucas Mendes (A),
42', 1 - 1, Azmoun S. ⚽, Noorafkan O. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', Azmoun S. 🟨,
48', 2 - 1, Azmoun S. ⚽,
51', Mohebi M. 🟨,
53', Ghayedi M. 🟨,
58', Edmilson Junior ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
65', Fathi A. ↓, Al Hassan I. ↑,
65', Salman T. ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Mohebi M. ⚽,
77', Ghayedi M. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
85', Azmoun S. ↓, Ghorbani M. ↑,
90+1', Taremi M. ↓, Moghanlou S. ↑,
90+1', Karimi M. ↓, Hosseinnejad M. ↑,
90+8', 4 - 1, Mohebi M. ⚽, Noorafkan O. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iran won 4.

In this match Iran is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Iran won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iran
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Uzbekistan - Iran	0:0 ✺
10.09.24	United Arab Emirates - Iran	0:1 ✺
05.09.24	Iran - Kyrgyzstan	1:0 ✺
11.06.24	Iran - Uzbekistan	0:0 ✺
06.06.24	Hong Kong - Iran	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWTW
- Qatar
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Qatar - Kyrgyzstan	3:1 ✺
10.09.24	North Korea - Qatar	2:2 ✺
05.09.24	Qatar - United Arab Emirates	1:3 ✺
11.06.24	Qatar - India	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Afghanistan - Qatar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
07.02.24	Iran - Qatar	2:3
Friendly
17.10.23	Qatar - Iran	0:4
31.12.18	Qatar - Iran	1:2
FIFA World Cup
23.03.17	Qatar - Iran	0:1
01.09.16	Iran - Qatar	1:0
Asian Cup
15.01.15	Qatar - Iran	0:1
FIFA World Cup
04.06.13	Qatar - Iran	0:1

Iran - Qatar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide