Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Irapuato		Zacatepec Siglo

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.35	7.31
	1.38	4.34	7.60	Watch
	1.3	4.15	7.15
	1.33	4.33	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.57)	4.29 ↑ (4.2)	7.49 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato
67.1%

Draw
20.9%

Zacatepec Siglo
12%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

21.8%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Irapuato's performance.

Zacatepec Siglo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zacatepec Siglo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zacatepec Siglo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zacatepec Siglo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Irapuato - Zacatepec Siglo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, ⚽,
71', 🟥,
73', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs).

Irapuato is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Zacatepec is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zacatepec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Irapuato for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Irapuato in today's match, at odds of 1.5.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Irapuato has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Irapuato against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Primera Premier
10.10.26	Irapuato - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Irapuato - Lobos ULMX	3:0 ✺
21.09.26	La Piedad - Irapuato	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Irapuato - Tigres de Álica	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cordobés - Irapuato	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWW
- Zacatepec Siglo
Mexican Primera Premier
03.10.26	Zacatepec Siglo - La Piedad	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Cordobés - Zacatepec Siglo	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Purépechas	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Tritones Vallarta - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Lobos ULMX	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.02.25	Irapuato - Zacatepec Siglo	2:1
16.10.24	Zacatepec Siglo - Irapuato	3:1
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.02.15	Irapuato - Zacatepec Siglo	1:0
13.09.14	Zacatepec Siglo - Irapuato	3:0

Irapuato - Zacatepec Siglo