Match Info

ASIA: AFC Asian Cup U23 - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Malaysia	Astro
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Iraq U23		Indonesia U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.25	3.25	2.9
	2.25	3.25	3.35
	2.23	3.21	3.14
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.24	3.33	3
	2.23	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.99)	3.26 ↑ (3)	3.03 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraq U23
41.5%

Draw
28.2%

Indonesia U23
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraq U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Indonesia U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Indonesia U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraq U23 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iraq U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indonesia U23 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Indonesia U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Iraq U23 - Indonesia U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Iraq U23 will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hasan H. (G) 17. Saadon M. Al Kahraba 4. Tahseen Z. Al Talaba 2. Al Imam J. Olympic 3. Maknazi A. 10. Muhammad N. Al Karkh 14. Mohammed K. 11. Mohammed M. Mes Rafsanjan 7. Jasim A. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 18. Ridha F. Baghdad 9. Hassan B. De Graafschap	21. Ari E. (G) Persebaya 2. Fahmi R. Persija Jakarta 3. Ferarri M. Persija Jakarta 10. Hubner J. Cerezo Osaka 19. Sroyer J. Persik Kediri 6. Jenner I. Utrecht 23. Tjoe a On N. Heerenveen 12. Arhan P. Suwon FC 8. Witan FC Bhayangkara 7. Ferdinan M. Deinze 11. Struick R. Den Haag
Substitutes
12. Abbas H. (G) Al-Qassim 16. Abdulameer M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 15. Al Hamawi A. 8. Almosawe A. 1. Al Rekabe K. (G) 6. Doulashi R. 20. Faiq H. Erbil 21. Ismaeel Z. Al Talaba 5. Ojaimi H. Al Sinaa 23. Saad K. Al Karkh	20. Caraka H. PSS Sleman 22. Fasya D. (G) Borneo 14. Fathurrahman F. Borneo 16. Fikri A. Arema FC 18. Hannan R. Persija Jakarta 13. Kaffa A. B. PS Barito Putera 17. Pamungkas D. T. Persija Jakarta 9. Sananta R. Persis Solo 1. Satryo A. (G) PSIS Semarang 4. Teguh K. Borneo 15. Zikrak I. Borneo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Jenner I. ⚽,
22', Tahseen Z. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Tahseen Z. ⚽,
45', Ferdinan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Mohammed K. 🟨,
67', Hassan B. ↓, Abdulameer M. ↑,
68', Witan 🟨,
79', Fahmi R. ↓, Fathurrahman F. ↑,
79', Sroyer J. ↓, Teguh K. ↑,
80', Hubner J. 🟨,
90', Ridha F. ↓, Al Hamawi A. ↑,
90', Mohammed K. ↓, Ismaeel Z. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
96', 2 - 1, Jasim A. ⚽, Mohammed M. (A),
96', Witan ↓, Sananta R. ↑,
105', Al Hamawi A. ↓, Ojaimi H. ↑,
112', Mohammed M. ↓, Saad K. ↑,
113', Jasim A. ↓, Faiq H. ↑,
117', Jenner I. ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
120', 🟨,
120+1', Maknazi A. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Iraq U23 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraq U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
29.04.24	Japan U23 - Iraq U23	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Iraq U23 - Vietnam U23	1:0 ✺
22.04.24	Saudi Arabia U23 - Iraq U23	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Tajikistan U23 - Iraq U23	2:4 ✺
16.04.24	Iraq U23 - Thailand U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL
- Indonesia U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
29.04.24	Indonesia U23 - Uzbekistan U23	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	South Korea U23 - Indonesia U23	2:3 penalties ✺
21.04.24	Jordan U23 - Indonesia U23	1:4 ✺
18.04.24	Indonesia U23 - Australia U23	1:0 ✺
15.04.24	Qatar U23 - Indonesia U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.8 LWWWL

Iraq U23 - Indonesia U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide