Match Info

ASIA: AFC Asian Cup U23 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Japan U23		Iraq U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.4	5
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.66	3.62	5.73
	1.61	3.63	5.74
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.6	3.76	5.31	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.92)	3.59 ↑ (3.09)	5.28 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Japan U23
57%

Draw
25.6%

Iraq U23
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan U23's performance.

Iraq U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iraq U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan U23 than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraq U23 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iraq U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Japan U23 - Iraq U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Japan U23 will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Iraq U23 will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kokubo L. (G) Benfica 4. Hiroki S. Kashiwa Reysol 22. Takai K. Kawasaki Frontale 5. Kimura S. Sagan Tosu 21. Ohata A. Urawa Reds 11. Yamada F. Verdy 13. Araki R. FC Tokyo 8. Fujita J. St. Truiden 20. Hirakawa Y. Machida Zelvia 17. Matsuki K. FC Tokyo 19. Hosoya M. Kashiwa Reysol	22. Hasan H. (G) 17. Saadon M. Al Kahraba 4. Tahseen Z. Al Talaba 2. Al Imam J. Olympic 3. Maknazi A. 5. Ojaimi H. Al Sinaa 21. Ismaeel Z. Al Talaba 8. Almosawe A. 14. Mohammed K. 7. Jasim A. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 19. Ahmed S. Al Minaa
Substitutes
9. Fujio S. Machida Zelvia 2. Handa R. Gamba Osaka 6. Kawasaki S. Kyoto 3. Nishio R. Cerezo Osaka 12. Nozawa T. (G) FC Tokyo 10. Sato K. Werder Bremen 15. Suzuki K. Iwata 14. Tanaka S. Shonan Bellmare 18. Uchino K. 16. Uchino T. Dusseldorf 23. Yamada T. (G) Kashima Antlers 7. Yamamoto R. St. Truiden	12. Abbas H. (G) Al-Qassim 16. Abdulameer M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 15. Al Hamawi A. 1. Al Rekabe K. (G) 6. Doulashi R. 20. Faiq H. Erbil 9. Hassan B. De Graafschap 10. Muhammad N. Al Karkh 18. Ridha F. Baghdad 23. Saad K. Al Karkh

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', Saadon M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Hosoya M. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
34', Ahmed S. ↓, Ridha F. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Araki R. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Almosawe A. ↓, Muhammad N. ↑,
60', Ojaimi H. ↓, Hassan B. ↑,
66', Tahseen Z. 🟨,
73', Yamada F. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
76', Fujio S. 🟨,
79', Araki R. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
80', Matsuki K. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
82', Mohammed K. ↓, Saad K. ↑,
82', Ridha F. ↓, Abdulameer M. ↑,
90', Hosoya M. ↓, Uchino K. ↑,
90+1', Ohata A. ↓, Nishio R. ↑,

Preview

Japan U23 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Iraq U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Japan U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Japan U23 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Japan U23 to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Japan U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
25.04.24	Qatar U23 - Japan U23	2:4 ET ✺
22.04.24	Japan U23 - South Korea U23	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	United Arab Emirates U23 - Japan U23	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Japan U23 - China U23	1:0 ✺
Friendly
25.03.24	Japan U23 - Ukraine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Iraq U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
26.04.24	Iraq U23 - Vietnam U23	1:0 ✺
22.04.24	Saudi Arabia U23 - Iraq U23	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Tajikistan U23 - Iraq U23	2:4 ✺
16.04.24	Iraq U23 - Thailand U23	0:2 ✺
WAFF Championship U23
26.03.24	Iraq U23 - Jordan U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Asian Cup U23
26.01.16	Japan U23 - Iraq U23	2:1

Japan U23 - Iraq U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide