Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Irkutsk		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	6.27	4.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.27 ↑ (5.17)	4.65 ↑ (3.94)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irkutsk
14.8%

Draw
19.9%

Chertanovo
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.1%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.7%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irkutsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chertanovo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irkutsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Irkutsk - Chertanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Mikhailusov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 1, Lutashev V. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent form of Irkutsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chertanovo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Irkutsk has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chertanovo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Irkutsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Irkutsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Irkutsk	24	3	2	19	11:25	-14	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
28.06.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Irkutsk	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Irkutsk - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:4 ✺
14.06.26	Cherepovets - Irkutsk	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Irkutsk	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Volga Tver - Irkutsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWTL
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
28.06.26	Chertanovo - Dynamo Vologda	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Baltika 2 - Chertanovo	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Chertanovo - Yenisey 2	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Chertanovo	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Chertanovo - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
24.08.25	Irkutsk - Chertanovo	2:1
04.05.25	Chertanovo - Irkutsk	0:1
25.08.24	Irkutsk - Chertanovo	1:0

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