Match Info

Leumit League - Round 17

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Ironi Modiin		Hapoel Hadera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.45	3.15	2.58
	2.44	3.4	2.73	Watch
	2.43	3.13	2.63
	2.4	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.69)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Modiin
36.7%

Draw
28.5%

Hapoel Hadera
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Hadera Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ironi Modiin will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Hapoel Hadera will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ironi Modiin (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ironi Modiin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hapoel Hadera (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Benbenishti T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ))

Ironi Modiin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Hadera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hapoel Hadera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ironi Modiin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ironi Modiin	8	2	2	4	12:15	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Hadera - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Modiin	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kafr Qasim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Ironi Modiin	0:1 ✺
10.11.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Afula	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTLWW
- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Liga Leumit
22.12.25	Hapoel Hadera - Kafr Qasim	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Ramat Gan	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Hadera	1:0 ✺
01.12.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
31.08.25	Hapoel Hadera - Ironi Modiin	2:3

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