Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 14

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday


	Ironi Modiin		Hapoel Herzliya

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.82	3.35	4
	1.78	3.3	3.92
	1.8	3.44	4.14	Watch
	1.82	3.32	4.03
	1.82	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	3.95 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Modiin
49.9%

Draw
27.2%

Hapoel Herzliya
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Hapoel Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Herzliya than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Herzliya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Dor A. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 1 - 0, Elbaz E. ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, Shadi Y. T. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Ironi Modiin in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Hapoel Herzliya is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ironi Modiin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ironi Modiin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ironi Modiin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ironi Modiin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:7 (average 2:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Ironi Modiin	1:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
01.12.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Ironi Modiin	0:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
27.11.24	Ironi Modiin - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
19.11.24	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:0 penalties ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
08.11.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Ironi Modiin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWW
- Hapoel Herzliya
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.12.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Yavne	0:0 ✺
02.12.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
08.11.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
05.11.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Herzliya	0:1 ✺
31.10.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
23.02.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Ironi Modiin	0:1
13.09.23	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Herzliya	4:4
17.02.23	Hapoel Herzliya - Ironi Modiin	1:2
14.10.22	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Herzliya	0:3

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