Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Jerusalem FC		Ironi Modiin

	1	X	2
	2.47	3.15	2.65
	2.17	3.51	2.41
	2.44	3.43	2.59	Watch
	2.48	3.04	2.65
	2.47	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.06)	3.26 ↑ (2.95)	2.59 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
37.5%

Draw
27.7%

Ironi Modiin
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

30.3%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jerusalem FC's performance.

Ironi Modiin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jerusalem FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ironi Modiin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jerusalem FC - Ironi Modiin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Shadi Y. T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Moseri A. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Avraham Y. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.11.24	Maccabi Yavne - Jerusalem FC	3:3 ✺
08.11.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
05.11.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Jerusalem FC	0:3 ✺
01.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTT
- Ironi Modiin
Israeli State Cup
01.12.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Ironi Modiin	0:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
27.11.24	Ironi Modiin - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
19.11.24	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:0 penalties ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
08.11.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Ironi Modiin	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWT

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