Match Info

State Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Ironi Modiin		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.55
	1.57	4.05	4.66
	1.61	3.9	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	4 (4)	4.6 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Modiin
57.6%

Draw
22.7%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

22.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Modiin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Mahmoud H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Ironi Modiin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maccabi Nazareth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ironi Modiin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ironi Modiin is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Ironi Modiin - Bnei Yehuda	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Ironi Modiin	3:2 ✺
15.10.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Ironi Modiin	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLT
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
17.10.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:2 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:4 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Beitar Ramat Gan	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.09.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:0 ✺
18.09.25	MS Tira - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

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