Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.4
	1.99	3.2	3.45
	1.94	3.43	3.51	Watch
	1.98	3.36	3.62
	2	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	3.5 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
46.2%

Draw
27.7%

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (-2%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al Gharbiyye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Khatib A. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Abu Ahmad M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 3 - 0, Suleiman K. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Klein G. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Maccabi Nazareth might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Nazareth won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Nazareth won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
10.10.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:4 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Beitar Ramat Gan	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.09.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:0 ✺
18.09.25	MS Tira - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWLW
- Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
Israeli Liga Alef North
10.10.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
14.02.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:1
17.09.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:1
23.02.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1
13.09.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:0

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