Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 15

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Ironi Nesher		Hapoel Beit Shean

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.58
	2.44	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.46	3.5	2.57
	2.4	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	2.58 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Nesher
37.6%

Draw
27.2%

Hapoel Beit Shean
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Hapoel Beit Shean has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beit Shean than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Beit Shean Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Abbas M. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Razon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 1 - 2, Awouda M. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Ben Simon E. ⚽,
88', Almog M. 🟥,
90+9', 2 - 3, Peretz Y. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Recent form of Ironi Nesher has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hapoel Beit Shean has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ironi Nesher won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Ironi Nesher won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ironi Nesher	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
14	Beit Shean	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Ironi Nesher	4:0 ✺
02.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Tamra	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Ironi Nesher	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Nesher	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLLWT
- Hapoel Beit Shean
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Beit Shean	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
30.01.25	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Beit Shean	1:1

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